Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.094744 0.109413 0.125601 0.144793 0.166929 0.191667 0.221422
2026-01-25 0.069869 0.089079 0.112441 0.142954 0.181785 0.229597 0.293025
2026-02-01 0.055139 0.075327 0.101601 0.138321 0.188377 0.254333 0.348044
2026-02-08 0.047425 0.068540 0.097583 0.140478 0.202324 0.288450 0.417876
2026-02-15 0.041239 0.062574 0.093355 0.141043 0.213223 0.318671 0.485021
2026-02-22 0.036734 0.058217 0.090564 0.142867 0.225545 0.351619 0.559346
2026-03-01 0.032013 0.052788 0.085308 0.139983 0.229900 0.372477 0.616906
2026-03-08 0.028260 0.048341 0.080927 0.137725 0.234625 0.393934 0.677285
2026-03-15 0.025782 0.045643 0.078978 0.139079 0.245198 0.425681 0.757956
2026-03-22 0.024512 0.044825 0.080021 0.145541 0.265048 0.474918 0.874112
2026-03-29 0.023017 0.043406 0.079815 0.149678 0.281091 0.518991 0.985727
2026-04-05 0.021558 0.041863 0.079179 0.152881 0.295647 0.561697 1.099305
2026-04-12 0.019927 0.039843 0.077506 0.154069 0.306782 0.599714 1.209341
2026-04-19 0.018091 0.037212 0.074395 0.152124 0.311639 0.626332 1.300289
2026-04-26 0.016150 0.034136 0.070056 0.147193 0.309875 0.639590 1.365424
2026-05-03 0.015170 0.032922 0.069302 0.149488 0.323139 0.684403 1.501202
2026-05-10 0.014126 0.031445 0.067837 0.150090 0.332829 0.722715 1.627252
2026-05-17 0.013302 0.030350 0.067046 0.152031 0.345573 0.768724 1.775273
2026-05-24 0.012146 0.028380 0.064149 0.148961 0.346787 0.789648 1.868856
2026-05-31 0.011158 0.026682 0.061672 0.146558 0.349222 0.813464 1.971707
2026-06-07 0.010537 0.025775 0.060887 0.147999 0.360764 0.859223 2.131770
2026-06-14 0.010326 0.025824 0.062322 0.154878 0.386041 0.939667 2.385312
2026-06-21 0.009962 0.025456 0.062725 0.159280 0.405730 1.008777 2.618486